Resumo em Inglês



Silvana Nunes de Queiroz
Professora do Departamento de Economia da Universidade Regional do Cariri (URCA), Dra. em Demografia, Coordenadora do Observatório das Migrações no Estado do Ceará.

Ricardo Ojima
Doutor em Demografia d a Unicamp, Professor da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN),Presidente da Associação Brasileira de Estudos Populacionais - ABEP - de 2017-2018 e 2019-2020

Balance of the migration to and from the Northeast metropolis (Fortaleza, Recife and Salvador)

The objective of this study is to analyze and compare the interstate migration to and from the municipalities of the Metropolitan Region of Fortaleza (RMF), Metropolitan Region of Recife (RMR) and Metropolitan Region of Salvador (RMS), and to determine if the causes and motives of loss, turnover or retention/migratory attraction, in the 21st century, are still related to issues of economic order and labor market dynamics. The microdata of the Demographic Censuses 2000 and 2010 are the main source of information. The results show more gaps than similarities between RMs and their municipalities. The metropolises (RMR and RMS) and metropolitan centers (Recife and Salvador) with the best socioeconomic indicators, have the highest unemployment rates, and present the greatest negative migratory balances, being areas of population loss. On the other hand, the metropolis (RMF) and capital / nucleus (Fortaleza) with less expressive income, have the lowest unemployment rate, are areas of population retention (1995/2000) and areas of migratory turnover (2005/2010). Therefore, in the twenty-first century, there is no direct relationship between economic growth, income and attraction of migrants, but there remains a migration-employment attraction relationship. In this sense, migrations are more complex to study, necessitating other elements that justify retention, turnover or migration loss in the RMs under study, and other theories are necessary to explain such dynamics.

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